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Impact of e-commerce on marketing

2nd Oct 1999      Jagdeep Nagdev @bom7.vsnl.net.in

Hi! Everyone
    I consider this to be a very interesting topic to discuss, the impact
of e-commerce on marketing executives. I feel that all the companies shall
try to directly sell their product via the net. They would not like to
invest in marketing on the net + spend more on people to market the
product. What r ur views?


6th Oct 1999      Ashok Pramanik @cncdsl.com

You are very correct. Most of the organization in have already moving
towards it and alloted their major resources toward e-commerece.

Ashok Pramanik
[email protected]


7th Oct 1999      Tushar J. Mehta @ieee.org

"The Innovator's Dilemma", by Clayton M. Christensen (Harvard Business
School Press, June 1997)  has become required reading for Internet
managers, marketing and e-commerce professionals, entrepreneurs and
venture capitalists. I've had the pleasure of reading this book, as I'm
sure many of you have, as well. In a nutshell, Christensen believes that
the Net offers a superior business model with the potential that will
displace those companies unable to adapt. Dr.Christensen is an Associate
Professor of Technology & Operations Management, Harvard Business School
www.people.hbs.edu/cchristensen/bio.html

NOTE: My *only* motivation in promoting this book, is the simple fact that
it's an excellent book on innovation, a wonderful source of subjective
reference for business e-commerce and marketing professionals, and IMHO,
highly recommended.

The following Q&A with Christensen appeared in Businessweek, June 28, 1999
issue. [It was published in conjunction with the cover story, Internet
Anxiety (US edition)]. A Brutal Survival Plan By Paul C. Judge Copyright
© 1999, The McGraw-Hill Companies Inc.

Q: What's the lesson today's managers should take away about the Internet?
A: There are certain dimensions of managing the flow of information over
the Internet that help make your product or service better in the
marketplace you currently serve. Using the Web in ways that can sustain
your existing business model is an absolute imperative. But in other ways,
particularly in retailing now, the Web can be what I call a disruptive
technology, and historically, those are what cause companies to fail.

Q: Do you see those disruptions now?
A: Oh yeah. Online trading of securities is creating an enormous
disruption to the full-service brokerage firms. It's gone from 3% of
trades in 1997, to 14% in 1998. And underwritings are beginning to be done
over the Internet, as well.

Q: What's the most common mistake made by managers confronting
disruptions? A: The typical pattern is that your best customers will be
among the last to embrace this sort of disruptive technology, because
usually a disruptive technology does not provide the same kind of service
and performance that your best customers prefer. The people who will
embrace these technologies first are the ones that you have trained
yourself to pay the least attention to. It can creep up on you like a
stealth attack, until it's right on you.

Q: How are the fundamental measures of business value being challenged? A:
Look at bookselling. Once you've got a bookstore, the way to make more
money when you're starting out is to try to operate the store at full
capacity -- pack in as much selection and as many customers as you can
fit. But after you've achieved capacity, the only way to increase business
is by boosting margins.  On the Internet, there is no limit on the
capacity of the store, or the number of customers who can come in.
Therefore, percentage margins really aren't important. What's important
online is the total dollars you can bring in divided by the total amount
of capital required to get those customers. I calculated that Amazon could
equal the return on investment capital that a bricks-and-mortar bookseller
achieved if Amazon had only 5% gross margins, vs. 30% for a traditional
retailer. It's so different because of the scale available to stores
online.

Q: Can you point to others?
A: Financial services. The impact the Web will have there is to fragment
and render irrelevant the integrated financial institutions like
commercial banks. It will take time for this to happen. But consider a
business like credit cards, where four variables determine 99% of the
variance of whether someone will pay their debts or not. You can apply for
a credit card over the Net, get it over the Net, and have it serviced over
the Net. Because of that, nonbanks, and ultimately Internet banks, will
capture that business. Ten years ago, that was a very profitable piece of
business for banks like Citi. But that will just go away. Same for the
mortgage business and auto loans and small-business loans. Those kinds of
things will begin to be conducted more and more by specialized financial
services companies using the Net.

Q: Can old-line companies that excelled before the Internet master this
next phase? A: They can do it, but the only way is if they set up a
completely independent organization and let that organization attack the
parent. If you try to address this opportunity from inside the mainstream,
the probability of success is zero. I've never seen it happen.

Q: Do you expect a new business hierarchy to emerge led by the Net
companies?
A: You won't see the old-line retailers or brokers disappear. But to
survive, those guys will have to move toward products whose metrics can't
be clearly specified and measured. In retailing, there's already been one
big disruptive wave: discount retailers disrupting traditional department
stores. Look at the patterns: They stole the market dominance by starting
with branded household goods -- not big appliances, but little ones,
kitchen goods where clear metrics existed. Things you did not need to try
on. Gradually, they migrated their product lines to higher and higher
gross-profit-margin tiers in the market. The Internet is the ultimate wave
coming in that way.

Q: How can executives balance managing for a future that's being changed
by the Internet without sacrificing results today? A: The current business
doesn't fall apart. You need to have a different business organization
concentrating on building a business model appropriate to the future,
while the existing business organization can focus on being as successful
as possible with the client base that's still uncomfortable with the
Internet. Citi can't escape the cost of its legacy customers. But it
simply can't burden the new Internet business with serving those
customers, because Citi will be competing against Internet banks without
those legacy customers. The only way to compete is to have an organization
focused completely on the new opportunity.


Businessweek also published the following piece, in its June 14, 1999
issue. (It is a commentary on Christensen's book, reflecting upon Merrill
Lynch's decision to launch an on-line trading site). Commentary: Can a
Merrill Be a Maverick? By Michael J. Mandel Copyright © 1999, The
McGraw-Hill Companies Inc.

Aaargh! That's the sound of yet another industry--Wall Street, this
time--running headlong into the Innovator's Dilemma, the problem first
described by Clayton M. Christensen, a Harvard business school professor,
in his best-selling 1997 book of the same name. Christensen's argument is
simple: When successful companies are faced with a big technological leap
that transforms their markets, all choices are bad ones. Doing nothing is
not an option, as Merrill Lynch & Co. and other established outfits have
learned. Facing a major innovation like the Internet with a
head-in-the-sand strategy can maintain profits in the short run.
Long-term, however, market share and profits are going to be eaten away by
low-cost upstarts. RISKY BETS. And all the alternatives have their
problems. Competing with the startups by adopting their technology forces
an established company to behave like a startup itself. That means making
big bets on unproven technologies and markets that never may be capable of
producing decent earnings. Of course, venture capitalists make such risky
bets all the time, since they are prepared to accept big losses in
exchange for the chance of a big gain. But at most established companies,
managers, workers, and stockholders are not ready to take such enormous
risks. Or Merrill could try and take a middle path--as it is already
doing. Its latest plan calls for offering low-cost online trading, while
still using its existing brokers to provide high-margin financial planning
services. Such a fence-sitting strategy may mean getting the worst of both
worlds, since it keeps the high cost structure of the established company
while simultaneously incurring the enormous new expenses of setting up
large-volume online trading. Indeed, Christensen's conclusion is that it
is very difficult for an existing successful company to take full
advantage of a technological breakthrough such as the Internet--what he
calls a ''disruptive innovation.'' Instead, he argues that the best way to
cope is to set up a completely separate organization that can function as
a startup. Despite his depressing message, Christensen's book is drawing
enormous attention these days from top managers. In part, it's because he
does not blame the problems of established companies on stupid decisions
by executives. Rather, he explains how the habits that led to success make
it tough to deal with new technologies. For example, successful companies
are usually very good at listening to what their customers ask for and
then delivering it. But a disruptive new technology changes the customer
base. In Merrill's case, online trading will bring in new customers with
different needs and requirements than those of its existing full-service
customers. What's more, under traditional planning processes, it's
impossible to justify enormous investments to compete in small, yet-to-be
profitable markets. Christensen writes: ''Investing aggressively in
disruptive technologies is not a rational financial decision for
[established companies] to make.'' The trouble is that by the time the new
markets are large and profitable enough to justify the investment, they
are already occupied by entrenched competitors. Merrill, for instance, is
offering its retail customers low-cost online trading only after Charles
Schwab & Co. and E*Trade Group Inc. established themselves. Unfortunately,
there is no guarantee as to when a new market or a new innovation will be
profitable--or whether it will make money at all. ''Not only are the
market applications for disruptive technologies unknown at the time of
their development, they are unknowable,'' notes Christensen. To be sure, a
well-run established company can still survive a wave of disruptive
innovations, and perhaps even prosper. But if Christensen is right, the
spoils of the New Economy will go to the companies and people who are
willing to think like venture capitalists. That's not an easy thing to ask
of managers who have succeeded by taking prudent risks with their
shareholders' money and following the wishes of their faithful customers.
It's a dilemma.


on-line reviews of the book available at www.amazon.com


Tushar J. Mehta
email: [email protected]
voicemail: (206) 405-2335


7th Oct 1999      Dhruv Moondhra @bom7.vsnl.net.in

Hi Jagdeep,

With regards to marketing executives and the presence of e-commerce on
them.
I feel that as the internet economy matures, the internet will be
treated as just another channel, like retail or mail order, and
companies will need marketing executives who do a good job of
implementing a web marketing strategy. Also, the non-internet channels
will never disappear completely, so executives will still be required.

Also what we need to keep in mind is that India is a cash based economy,
and for that to change will take a long time. In the consumer goods
segment, we can be sure, atleast in the short term, a majority of the
sales of a company will still come through non-internet channels. For
the business to business commerce part of the industry, even now, there
is very little progress on the internet, even in the western world.

Therefore I do not see a big change in the need for marketing
executives. There skill sets and roles might change to encompass
evolving technology, but they will still be required.

regards,

dhruv


8th Oct 1999      Pranav Lal @softhome.net

Hi,

I wonder how well this approach will work. The internet in my opinion is
still a toy for the average user.

Pranav
Check out my web page at http://www.members.tripod.com/slimprize/index.html


7th Oct 1999      Pramod @cgs.cgsmith.soft.net

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8th Oct 1999      Neena P. Kumtakar @asc.ltindia.com

Only a few companies will be able to directly sell their products via the
net. Cost of internet access in India is still too high and the level of
trust & level of credit card usage is low. Also, in metros, where all
family members are working, few courier companies offer delivery in the
evenings when people are at home.

Neena


8th Oct 1999      Franklin Wayne Poley @vcn.bc.ca

Until we get those human language translating programs in operation (which
will likely take quite a while) remember that English is the international
language of commerce, on or off the Internet. And India has a big advantage
over most countries in that respect.
FWP.


10th Oct 1999      yang @vsnl.com

> >    I consider this to be a very interesting topic to discuss, the impact
> >of e-commerce on marketing executives. I feel that all the companies shall
> >try to directly sell their product via the net. They would not like to
> >invest in marketing on the net + spend more on people to market the
> >product. What r ur views?

My only comment is it is good this way.  Any form of automation does not do
away with employment.  It merely means that the rest of the population can
devote themselves to better tasks.

--
Best regards,

Yang Yen-Thaw from New Delhi

***********************************************************************
YANG advocates & solicitors
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International business transactions, infrastructure and intellectual property
(India related)
Telephone +91-11-686-3103, TeleFax +91-11-696-3703
Main Office - New Delhi. Other Offices - Bangalore, Hyderabad.
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11th Oct 1999      neeraj chaturvedi @hotmail.com

Hi,

I absolutely agree with you. You try spreading socialism, helps little to 
poor. Try capitalism, you get socialism as end product.

rgds
neeraj



>My only comment is it is good this way.  Any form of automation does not do
>away with employment.  It merely means that the rest of the population can
>devote themselves to better tasks.
>
>--
>Best regards,
>
>Yang Yen-Thaw from New Delhi
>


11th Oct 1999      Manish Jain @yahoo.com

Hello,
A lot is being said and written about e-commerce in India.  It is really
fascinating to read on it . But when it comes to actual implementation, I
think we as a country are 3-4 yrs behind developed nations. This is a lot
of time in a fast changing IT world. By this I mean to say that the type
of commerce that is being conducted on internet in India today was
conducted about 3-4  years ago in US and other developed nations. Still
realtime verification of credit cards is not possible in India. Not
because technology is not available in India but because laws are not
present.

E-commerce should really revolutionize the way trade is conducted in
India.  Once the telecom infrastructure and education reaches nooks and
corner of India,the role of middleman  will be greatly reduced enabling
both manufacturer and consumer to get fair price. 

I think the laws should have been implemented in India at the earliest(
may be 4 yrs ago) because in the Indian scenario e-commerce will take a
time to catch on even when the laws are implemented. This is because in
purchasing habits are quite different from the west. Physical contact(
sing it , touching) with the things that we buy is very important here. A
word of assurance from the sales agent comes a long way in helping us in
making our final decisions on what to buy no matter whether the company
manufacturing the product gives a warrenty of 5 years.

The more the governments at the centre delay in implementing the laws ,
the more the indian trade will be at loss.

Open to debate,

Manish


13th Oct 1999      Niel Hirjee @cal.indiax.com

Dear Manish,

>  fascinating to read on it . But when it comes to actual implementation,
>  I think we as a country are 3-4 yrs behind developed nations. This is a
>  lot of time in a fast changing IT world.

This could be a pandoras box waiting to be opened. If it becomes possible
to do online transactions / phone based transactions with just credit
cards numbers in India, there would be a huge amount of fraud. Recent
statistics indicate that one in eight online transactions is the US is
charged back, due to unauthorized use of cerdit card info. What the
figures for India will be is anybodys guess.

Our law enforcement is so poor, compared to, say, the US that it becomes a
viable proposition to carry out credit card fraud and get away with it.
Till our law enforcement becomes at par with the US, I dont think online
CC will take off in India in a big way. Merchants will not find it worth
their while to offer this facility.

As an aside, our law enforcement cannot improve till be have the
equivalent of the US social security number fully implemented.

>  Once the telecom infrastructure and education reaches nooks and corner
>  of India,the role of middleman  will be greatly reduced enabling both
>  manufacturer and consumer to get fair price. 

But the telecom infrastructure has already reached every nook and corner
of India - albeit at a low density. The role of the middleman is as
important as ever even in those countries which have a better telecom
infrastructure - why do you feel it will be different in India?

>  catch on even when the laws are implemented. This is because in
>  purchasing habits are quite different from the west. Physical contact(
>  sing it , touching) with the things that we buy is very important here.
>  A word of

For standardized items, if the price is right, people are willing to forgo
the touch and feel factor. I say this from personal experience as we have
sold quite a few computers through calArcade, and that too to buyers
outside Calcutta.

> The more the governments at the centre delay in implementing the laws ,
> the
>  more the indian trade will be at loss.

The government can pass any law, but how will that law be implemented?
Does the government have the infrastructure (or even the domain knowledge)
to implement cyber laws?

Thank you!

Regards,
Niel Hirjee

--
Calport Technologies               Phone: +91 33 475-5884
3 Dover Road,                      Fax:   +91 33 476-3021
Calcutta 700 019                   Email: [email protected]
India                              http://www.indiax.com/cal

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